Jul 28, 2014
Mid and upper level moisture from tropical storm Herman will continue warm and humid conditions through Wednesday with a few showers and t storms just about anywhere Tuesday evening through Wednesday afternoon.

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A lifting tornado that briefly touched the ground over the Lake Elsinore Convergence zone(near highway 74) back in Summer of 2012 during a super cell thunderstorm. This tornado if it had fully materialized could of been one of the strongest landfalls ever recorded in California as it had a rotating wall cloud. Photo courtesy of site owner Michael Mojarro.

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**Forecast: Monday, July, 28th, 2014, 6:15pm**

We had another active day today thunderstorm wise, this time focused more on the typical areas of the mountains and desert slopes. Big Bear got hit pretty hard this afternoon with some flash flooding and hail reported, but nothing they aren't used to up there. Sunday night was also worth noting as an inverted tropical trough moved in over the area overnight firing off widespread mostly light showers, but a couple thunderstorms did pop off with some isolated heavy down pours, one particularly between Fallbrook and Temecula and another in western Riverside. That brief strong storm in Venice Beach yesterday that killed 1 and injured 13 by lightning and also caused a couple fires is a perfect example of why you should always keep your eyes on the sky and take cover when there is an incoming storm, even if its miles away. As for tonight things finally look to calm with partly cloudy skies and lows in the 60s west of the mountains and upper 40s and 50s in the mountains.

Things get rather interesting once again tomorrow, especially tomorrow evening into Wednesday as moisture from Tropical Storm Heman which is unusually far north will begin to advect into our area. Most of this moisture will be in the middle and upper levels, kind of like our last event. Just about anyone from the =deserts to the beaches could see a stray shower or thunderstorm as this feature moves through, but due to the moisture being so high based I'm not expect any heavy rain at this time, maybe a couple isolated heavier down pours if any thunderstorms form, mainly in the mountains. I most note thought that computer models lately have been handling our monsoonal waves and moisture very poorly, and with tropical lows like this things can be very hard to predict, and with much warmer then normal waters offshore due to our developing El Nino which helped fire off a lot of storms over our coastal islands this weekend, I wouldn't be surprised if we saw a bit more action then is being anticipated, we will have to wait and see. The clouds will keep hioghs in check near normal with 70s along the coast, 80s for the coastal valleys, and 90s to near 100 inland, and 70s in the mountains. It will remain rather humid though the next couple days making things uncomfortable.

It looks like things will clear and dry out Thursday and Friday with no monsoon flow expected in the area with high pressure well off to our east. Temps will rise a bit due to more sun and drier air, to about 5 degrees above normal for most areas, with some low 100s returning for the warmer valleys of the inland empire, and highs between 108-116 in the low deserts. Computers are already locking onto our next monsoonal wave which looks like t may arrive as early as Saturday this weekend with a return of showers and thunderstorms to our mountains, but whether there will be any activity west of the mountains remains tpo be seen. Stay updated for the latest!

Site Owner/Forecaster, Michael Mojarro

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Disclaimer: is a privately run weather site and all forecast and possible advisories issued in no way are related to the National Weather Service or any government agency but from the sole guidance of forecaster Michael Mojarro, weather can not be controlled and all forecast are to be followed at your own will.