195
FXUS65 KVEF 141132
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
332 AM PST Sat Nov 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Lingering showers and breezes exit into the afternoon, leading
  to calmer weather for the rest of the weekend.

* Additional precipitation and cooler weather arrives Monday and
  Tuesday and again in the second half of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Through Friday

Winds are easing across much of the region with a few favored
peaks and passes still seeing hazardously strong winds. These
winds look to reduce in the mid to late morning while the last few
showers exit to the east. Snow chances across the Sierra reduce
through the morning as well. Mostly calm conditions are expected
for the rest of Saturday and through Sunday as a ridge builds over
the region.

Confidence is strong for a return to unsettled weather for Monday
as a low pressure builds into the area early that morning and
spreads through the day. The trough associated with this low
pressure will deepen over our area, pulling a better feed of
moisture after it crosses the Sierra, limiting Sierra snow
potential, but leading to better rainfall chances for the rest of
the region. Rain looks to become widespread into Monday afternoon
for the areas east of the Sierra Nevada, but rain rates look to
stay light. Rainfall totals have reduced over recent model
updates, with showers being a bit more scattered: Expect around
0.02 to 0.20" for all but Northeast Clark Co, Mohave Co, and
Lincoln Co which will range from 0.30 to 0.60" after showers exit
to the east. Wednesday will offer another pause in rain but
another batch of showers arrives early Thursday and could linger
into next Friday but these showers look to be very scattered and
short lived.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 12Z Forecast
Package...Southwesterly winds gusting to 20-25KT will continue
early in the forecast period, with gusts expected to gradually
diminish after sunrise. Sustained speeds will remain elevated
around 10-12KT as winds veer from the southwest to north mid-
morning. Light winds resume by early afternoon as winds veer to
the northeast, remaining light thereafter. Ceilings will gradually
improve, with FEW-SCT clouds around 8-10kft at issuance improving
to 15-25kft by late morning as showers continue moving east of
the area.


For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 12Z Forecast Package...Elevated and at least
intermittently gusty southwesterly winds will continue across
Las Vegas Valley terminals and Western Mojave Desert/KDAG through
mid-morning, with gusts to 20-25KT expected. Winds across much of
the region will then shift to the north-northwest around 10-12KT,
persisting into early afternoon. Thereafter, winds become
somewhat variable, remaining around 5-10KT. The primary exception
exists along the Lower Colorado River Valley (KIFP/KEED), where
gusts have diminished and terrain will maintain a southerly to
southwesterly direction through sunset. Ceilings will gradually
improve, with the lowest ceilings around 3-5kft at issuance across
the western Mojave Desert expected to improve to around 10kft by
late morning, and only mid-level and high clouds expected areawide
by this afternoon as rain showers continue moving eastward.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Murdock
AVIATION...Phillipson

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NWS Las Vegas (VEF) Office